Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonaire win with a probability of 77.16%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Saint Martin had a probability of 8.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonaire win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.76%) and 1-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Saint Martin win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.