Curacao national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 9, 2024 at 10pm UK
Stadion Ergilio Hato

Curacao
4 - 0
Saint Martin

Bacuna (10'), Kastaneer (13'), Bacuna (48'), Zimmerman (65')
Roemeratoe (16'), Floranus (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Amiens (64'), Montantin (69')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Curacao and Saint Martin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curacao

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Lucia 2-1 Curacao
Friday, September 6 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Saint Martin

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Martin 0-2 Grenada
Saturday, September 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Saint Martin had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Saint Martin win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.

Result
CuracaoDrawSaint Martin
50.27% (-3.566 -3.57)23.85% (0.264 0.26)25.88% (3.3 3.3)
Both teams to score 56.36% (2.831 2.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.87% (2.001 2)45.13% (-2.003 -2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52% (1.891 1.89)67.48% (-1.892 -1.89)
Curacao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (-0.589 -0.59)18.01% (0.587 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1% (-1.023 -1.02)48.89% (1.021 1.02)
Saint Martin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (3.917 3.92)31.25% (-3.918 -3.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (4.321 4.32)67.6% (-4.322 -4.32)
Score Analysis
    Curacao 50.27%
    Saint Martin 25.88%
    Draw 23.85%
CuracaoDrawSaint Martin
1-0 @ 9.65% (-1.05 -1.05)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-0 @ 8.27% (-1.085 -1.09)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.724 -0.72)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.221 0.22)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.355 -0.36)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 50.27%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.499 -0.5)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.486 0.49)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.203 0.2)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.144 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.681 0.68)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.462 0.46)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.494 0.49)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.389 0.39)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.311 0.31)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 25.88%

How you voted: Curacao vs Saint Martin

Curacao
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Saint Martin
14.3%
7