Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Henan in this match.

Result
Changchun Yatai	Draw	Henan
31.5% ( -0.62)	25.84% ( 0.51)	42.66% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 53.65% (

-1.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.57% (

-2.38)

50.43% (

2.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.64% (

-2.15)

72.36% (

2.15)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.11% (

-1.6)

29.89% (

1.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.02% (

-1.97)

65.98% (

1.98)

Henan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

-0.97)

23.48% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.49% (

-1.44)

57.51% (

1.44)

Score Analysis

Changchun Yatai 31.5%

Henan 42.65%

Draw 25.84%

Changchun Yatai	Draw	Henan
1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.5%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.99% Total : 42.65%