Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.