Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 48.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Wuhan Three Towns win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.