Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.