Chinese Super League | Gameweek 3

Mar 29, 2025 at 7.30am UK

Beijing National Stadium

Dalian Zhixing
2 - 0
Changchun

Zhu (31', 31'), Malele (69', 69')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Xuan (64'), Xuan (64')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Dalian Zhixing and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dalian Zhixing

All competitions

Last Game: Shandong 4-1 Dalian Zhixing
Friday, February 28 at 7.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Changchun Yatai

All competitions

Last Game: Shanghai Port 2-0 Changchun
Friday, February 28 at 11.35am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Zhixing win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Zhixing win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dalian Zhixing would win this match.

Result
Dalian Zhixing	Draw	Changchun Yatai
57.97% ( -0.73)	22.92% ( 0.36)	19.11% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 50.5% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.39% (

-0.95)

48.6% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.27% (

-0.88)

70.72% (

0.87)

Dalian Zhixing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.51% (

-0.58)

16.48% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.8% (

-1.06)

46.2% (

1.05)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.47% (

-0.15)

39.52% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.78% (

-0.14)

76.21% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Dalian Zhixing 57.96%

Changchun Yatai 19.11%

Draw 22.92%

Dalian Zhixing	Draw	Changchun Yatai
1-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.04% Total : 57.96%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.92%	0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.11%