Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Zhixing win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Zhixing win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dalian Zhixing would win this match.