Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.42%) and 3-1 (4.92%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.