Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.