Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 78.77%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.95%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.97%), while for a Qingdao Youth Island win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.