Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Wuhan Three Towns win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.