Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Hainiu win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.