Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Hainiu win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Hainiu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qingdao Hainiu would win this match.