Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 72.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 9.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.85%) and 3-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.