Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 20.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.