Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.