Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yunnan Yukun win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yunnan Yukun win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Wuhan Three Towns	Draw	Yunnan Yukun
35.2% ( -1.19)	25.13% ( 0.36)	39.67% ( 0.82)

Both teams to score 57.1% (

-1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.57% (

-1.81)

46.43% (

1.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.29% (

-1.73)

68.71% (

1.72)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.37% (

-1.51)

25.63% (

1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.47% (

-2.1)

60.52% (

2.1)

Yunnan Yukun Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.78% (

-0.39)

23.22% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.88% (

-0.57)

57.12% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Wuhan Three Towns 35.2%

Yunnan Yukun 39.67%

Draw 25.12%

Wuhan Three Towns	Draw	Yunnan Yukun
1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.2%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.55) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.67%