Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Qingdao Youth Island	Draw	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
37.66% ( 0.07)	24.96% ( 0.05)	37.37% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 57.9% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.52% (

-0.23)

45.47% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.19% (

-0.22)

67.81% (

0.22)

Qingdao Youth Island Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.17% (

-0.07)

23.83% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.99% (

-0.1)

58% (

0.1)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.02% (

-0.17)

23.98% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.77% (

-0.24)

58.23% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Qingdao Youth Island 37.66%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 37.37%

Draw 24.96%

Qingdao Youth Island	Draw	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.66%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96%	1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 37.37%