Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.