Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.