Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 69.23%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 13.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 3-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shandong Taishan in this match.