Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.