Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.