Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 73.55%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 11.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 3-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 1-2 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shanghai Port in this match.