Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.