Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 62.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 16.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.