Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Yunnan Yukun had a probability of 15.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Yunnan Yukun win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.