Chinese Super League | Gameweek 3

Mar 29, 2025 at 11.35am UK

Workers' Stadium

Beijing Guoan
1 - 1
Chengdu

Abreu (18' pen.)
Spajic (5'), Zhang (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Silva (78')
Mincheng (12'), Delgado (18'), Yang (20')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Chengdu Rongcheng.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions

Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 2-2 Beijing Guoan
Saturday, March 1 at 11.35am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Chengdu Rongcheng

All competitions

Last Game: Chengdu 1-2 Tianjin Jinmen
Sunday, March 2 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Beijing Guoan	Draw	Chengdu Rongcheng
35.34% ( 0.41)	25.2% ( 0.22)	39.47% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 56.9% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.3% (

-0.94)

46.69% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.04% (

-0.89)

68.96% (

0.89)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.32% (

-0.21)

25.68% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.41% (

-0.28)

60.59% (

0.28)

Chengdu Rongcheng Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.56% (

-0.73)

23.43% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.56% (

-1.08)

57.44% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Beijing Guoan 35.34%

Chengdu Rongcheng 39.47%

Draw 25.2%

Beijing Guoan	Draw	Chengdu Rongcheng
1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.34%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.08% Total : 39.47%