Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Dalian Zhixing had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Dalian Zhixing win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.