Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.