Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 38.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.42%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shandong Taishan in this match.