Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5

Apr 6, 2025 at 8.30am UK

Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
1 - 2
Shandong

Long (47')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Crysan (34'), Madruga (76')
Madruga (45+4')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Shandong Taishan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions

Last Game: Changchun 1-1 Wuhan TT
Wednesday, April 2 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Shandong Taishan

All competitions

Last Game: Shandong 0-3 Chengdu
Wednesday, April 2 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 38.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.42%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shandong Taishan in this match.

Result
Changchun Yatai	Draw	Shandong Taishan
38.02% ( -1.05)	23.85% ( 0.22)	38.13% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 62.06% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.89% (

-1.08)

40.11% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.52% (

-1.12)

62.47% (

1.12)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.75% (

-0.98)

21.25% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.84% (

-1.53)

54.16% (

1.53)

Shandong Taishan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.8% (

-0.07)

21.2% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.92% (

-0.11)

54.08% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Changchun Yatai 38.02%

Shandong Taishan 38.13%

Draw 23.85%

Changchun Yatai	Draw	Shandong Taishan
2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.73% Total : 38.02%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.85%	1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 38.13%