Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

May 4, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 3
Holstein Kiel

Mounie (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Machino (25' pen.), Bernhardsson (40', 51')
Arp (85'), Remberg (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 4-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Holstein Kiel
46.41% ( -1.14)	24.32% ( 0.33)	29.27% ( 0.82)

Both teams to score 57.51% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.15% (

-0.97)

44.85% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.79% (

-0.94)

67.21% (

0.95)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.55% (

-0.85)

19.45% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.7% (

-1.41)

51.3% (

1.42)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4% (

0.08)

28.6% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.6% (

0.09)

64.4% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 46.41%

Holstein Kiel 29.27%

Draw 24.32%

Augsburg	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.1% Total : 46.41%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.27%