Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2024 at 6pm UK

Al Salam Stadium

South Africa
5 - 0
Congo

Mokoena (12', 27'), Jurry Aubaas (37'), Foster (52'), Rayners (79')
Mokoena (11'), Mokwana (69'), Kwayiba (87')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between South Africa and Congo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: South Sudan 2-3 South Africa
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Congo

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Uganda 2-0 Congo
Monday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo	3	3	7
2	Angola	3	1	5
3	Burkina Faso	3	-2	2
4	Cameroon	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Congo had a probability of 13.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.26%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.13%), while for a Congo win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Congo
61.92% ( -0.3)	24.53% ( 0.14)	13.55% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 35.76% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.59% (

-0.17)

62.41% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.96% (

-0.12)

82.03% (

0.12)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.82% (

-0.18)

20.17% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.53% (

-0.29)

52.47% (

0.29)

Congo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.8% (

0.16)

55.2% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12% (

0.09)

88% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

South Africa 61.91%

Congo 13.55%

Draw 24.52%

South Africa	Draw	Congo
1-0 @ 17.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 14.26% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 61.91%	0-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.07) 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 24.52%	0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.81% Total : 13.55%