Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 5, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Alphonse Massamba-Debat

Congo
1 - 0
South Sudan

Massanga (12')
Dembi (66'), Passi (90+2'), Mafoumbi (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

America Jawa Mara (30'), Wahab Thiago Ajuman (33'), Obede Morgan (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Congo and South Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo

All competitions

Last Game: Congo 0-6 Morocco
Tuesday, June 11 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo	3	3	7
2	Angola	3	1	5
3	Burkina Faso	3	-2	2
4	Cameroon	3	-2	1

South Sudan

Last Game: South Sudan 0-3 Sudan
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Sudan win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Congo had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Congo win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Congo would win this match.

Result
Congo	Draw	South Sudan
35.16% ( -1.06)	27.06% ( 0.08)	37.78% ( 0.98)

Both teams to score 50.67% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.34% (

-0.36)

54.65% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.01% (

-0.3)

75.98% (

0.3)

Congo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

-0.83)

29.6% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36% (

-1.02)

65.64% (

1.02)

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.97% (

0.4)

28.02% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.32% (

0.51)

63.67% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Congo 35.15%

South Sudan 37.78%

Draw 27.05%

Congo	Draw	South Sudan
1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.15%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.78%