World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 20, 2023 4.00pm
Stade d'Agadir

Eritrea vs Congo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Eritrea

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 16, 2023 7.00pm
Morocco 0 - 0 Eritrea

Congo

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 17, 2023 4.00pm
Zambia 4 - 2 Congo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 83.41%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Eritrea had a probability of 4.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.99%) and 0-1 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for a Eritrea win it was 1-0 (2.02%).

Result

Eritrea 4.9% (+0.88)
Draw 11.69% (+1.27)
Congo 83.41% (-2.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.66% (+1.88)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.55% (-1.73)
Under 2.5 36.45% (+1.73)
Over 3.5 41.41% (-1.91)
Under 3.5 58.59% (+1.91)
Over 4.5 23.28% (-1.59)
Under 4.5 76.72% (+1.59)

Eritrea Goals

Over 0.5 41.32% (+2.33)
Under 0.5 58.68% (-2.33)
Over 1.5 10.04% (+1.20)
Under 1.5 89.96% (-1.20)

Congo Goals

Over 0.5 93.55% (-0.76)
Under 0.5 6.44% (+0.76)
Over 1.5 75.88% (-2.13)
Under 1.5 24.12% (+2.13)

Score analysis

Eritrea 4.9%
Draw 11.69%
Congo 83.4%
Eritrea
1-0 @ 2.02% (+0.31)
2-1 @ 1.47% (+0.26)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 4.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.53% (+0.62)
0-0 @ 3.78% (+0.32)
2-2 @ 2.02% (+0.28)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 11.69%
Congo
0-2 @ 14.21% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 12.99% (-0.63)
0-1 @ 10.37% (+0.43)
0-4 @ 8.91% (-0.87)
1-2 @ 7.58% (+0.54)
1-3 @ 6.93% (+0.20)
0-5 @ 4.88% (-0.72)
1-4 @ 4.75% (-0.09)
1-5 @ 2.6% (-0.17)
0-6 @ 2.23% (-0.45)
2-3 @ 1.85% (+0.19)
2-4 @ 1.27% (+0.08)
1-6 @ 1.19% (-0.14)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 83.4%