Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2024 at 5pm UK

Orlando Stadium

South Africa
2 - 2
Uganda

Foster (14'), Mbatha (90+5')
Ngezana (9'), Mudau (45+3'), Foster (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Omedi (51'), Mato (54')
Kayondo (59'), Ojera (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between South Africa and Uganda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Last Game: South Africa 1-0 Eswatini
Tuesday, July 2 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Uganda

All competitions

Last Game: Uganda 1-2 Algeria
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 14.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.1%) and 2-1 (7.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.86%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Uganda
57.31% ( 0.01)	28.57% ( 0.01)	14.12% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 29.32% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

28.04% (

-0.03)

71.97% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.54% (

-0.02)

88.47% (

0.02)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.64% (

-0.01)

26.37% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.49% (

-0.01)

61.52% (

0.01)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.82% (

-0.05)

60.19% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.26% (

-0.02)

90.75% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

South Africa 57.31%

Uganda 14.12%

Draw 28.56%

South Africa	Draw	Uganda
1-0 @ 21.15% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 14.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 57.31%	0-0 @ 15.86% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 28.56%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.29% Total : 14.12%