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Africa Cup of Nations

South Sudan national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Juba Stadium
South Africa national football team

South Sudan
2 - 3
South Africa

Okello (15' pen.), Yuel (58')
Gama (28')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Reagan Appollis (17', 45+2'), Mbatha (90+5')
Ngezana (13'), Sithole (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between South Sudan and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Sudan

Last Game: Congo 1-0 South Sudan
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

South Africa

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Uganda
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South SudanDrawSouth Africa
23.98% (-0.029 -0.03)26.5% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)49.52% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 46.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)57.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)78.03% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.55% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)39.45% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.85% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)76.15% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (0.022000000000006 0.02)23.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)57.05% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    South Sudan 23.98%
    South Africa 49.52%
    Draw 26.49%
South SudanDrawSouth Africa
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.79% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 23.98%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 13.36%
0-2 @ 9.77% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 4.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.43% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 49.52%

How you voted: South Sudan vs South Africa

South Sudan
12.9%
Draw
9.7%
South Africa
77.4%
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