South Sudan vs South Africa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.