Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Juba Stadium
South Sudan2 - 3South Africa
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Congo 1-0 South Sudan
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Uganda
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
We said: South Sudan 0-2 South Africa
Given South Sudan's struggles heading into this one, anything less than three points for South Africa will be met with a lot of disgruntlement. We are backing the away side to cruise to a relatively routine victory at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 23.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Sudan | Draw | South Africa |
23.98% ( -0.03) | 26.5% ( -0.01) | 49.52% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.52% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
