Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 9, 2024 at 5pm UK

Mandela National Stadium

Uganda
2 - 0
Congo

Kayondo (21'), Ssemugabi (85')
Omedi (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Passi (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Uganda and Congo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Uganda
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Congo

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Congo 1-0 South Sudan
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo	3	3	7
2	Angola	3	1	5
3	Burkina Faso	3	-2	2
4	Cameroon	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 27.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Uganda win it was 1-0 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uganda would win this match.

Result
Uganda	Draw	Congo
27.61% ( -0.44)	28.89% ( -0.09)	43.49% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 42.99% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.91% (

0.1)

63.09% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.47% (

0.07)

82.53% (

-0.07)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.43% (

-0.32)

39.56% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.75% (

-0.29)

76.25% (

0.29)

Congo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.13% (

0.34)

28.87% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.26% (

0.42)

64.74% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Uganda 27.61%

Congo 43.49%

Draw 28.88%

Uganda	Draw	Congo
1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 27.61%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.88%	0-1 @ 14.19% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.52% Total : 43.49%