Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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Aziz Kayondo
21'
-
Denis Omedi
60'
-
Jude Ssemugabi
85'
-
Bryan Passi
19'
Uganda vs Congo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 27.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Uganda win it was 1-0 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uganda would win this match.
Result
Uganda
27.61%
▼
(-0.45)
Draw
28.89%
▼
(-0.09)
Congo
43.49%
▲
(+0.53)
Both Teams to Score:
42.99%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
36.91%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
63.09%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
17.47%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
82.53%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 4.5
6.92%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
93.08%
▼
(-0.04)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5
60.43%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 0.5
39.56%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 1.5
23.75%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 1.5
76.25%
▲
(+0.30)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5
71.13%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 0.5
28.87%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 1.5
35.26%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 1.5
64.74%
▼
(-0.43)
Score analysis
Uganda
27.61%
Draw
28.88%
Congo
43.49%
Uganda
1-0
@
10.59%
▼
(-0.14)
2-1 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 27.61%
2-1 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 27.61%
Draw
1-1
@
13.15%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 11.42% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.88%
0-0 @ 11.42% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.88%
Congo
0-1
@
14.19%
▲
(+0.09)
0-2 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.14)
1-2 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 43.49%
0-2 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.14)
1-2 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 43.49%