De pas gekroonde Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A-kampioenen, Atletico Mineiro, zal dit jaar op zondag vanuit Mineirao het opnemen tegen Bragantino in hun laatste binnenlandse thuiswedstrijd.
Galo behaalde de titel met een dramatische kom van achter de overwinning, 3-2 op Bahia, terwijl Braga winstloos is in hun vorige vier wedstrijden in alle competities, eind november 1-0 naar Juventude.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 12.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.