Women's World Cup | Group Stage

Jul 31, 2023 at 8am UK

Westpac Stadium

Japan Women
4 - 0
Spain Women

Miyazawa (12', 40'), Ueki (29'), Tanaka (82')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Carmona (45+1'), Hernandez Zurbano (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Women's World Cup clash between Japan Women and Spain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Japan Women 2-0 Costa Rica Women
Wednesday, July 26 at 6am in Women's World Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Women	2	8	6
2	Japan Women	2	7	6
3	Costa Rica Women	2	-5	0
4	Zambia Women	2	-10	0

Spain Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Spain Women 5-0 Zambia Women
Wednesday, July 26 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Women	2	8	6
2	Japan Women	2	7	6
3	Costa Rica Women	2	-5	0
4	Zambia Women	2	-10	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Spain Women had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Spain Women win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.

Result
Japan Women	Draw	Spain Women
38.1% ( 0.36)	24.45% ( -0.09)	37.45% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 59.8% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.97% (

0.45)

43.03% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.57% (

0.44)

65.43% (

-0.44)

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.5% (

0.39)

22.51% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.94% (

0.57)

56.07% (

-0.57)

Spain Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.17% (

0.07)

22.84% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.44% (

0.09)

56.56% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Japan Women 38.1%

Spain Women 37.45%

Draw 24.44%

Japan Women	Draw	Spain Women
2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.1%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.44%	1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.45%