Women's European Championship
Jul 8, 2022 5.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Irene Paredes 26' goal
  • Aitana Bonmati 41' goal
  • Irene Paredes 54' yellowcard
  • Lucia Garcia 75' goal
  • Mariona Caldentey 90'+5' goal
  • goal Linda Sallstrom 1'
  • yellowcard Emmi Alanen 80'

Spain Women vs Finland Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain Women

All competitions

Finland Women

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Finland Women had a probability of 16.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Finland Women win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.

Result

Spain Women 58.58% (-0.02)
Draw 24.43%
Finland Women 16.98% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.59% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.78% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 57.22% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 21.93% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 78.07% (-0.02)

Spain Women Goals

Over 0.5 80.57% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19.43% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 48.74% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 51.26% (-0.01)

Finland Women Goals

Over 0.5 52.85% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 47.14% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 17.4% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 82.59% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Spain Women 58.57%
Draw 24.43%
Finland Women 16.98%
Spain Women
1-0 @ 15% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 12.29% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.25% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 58.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 9.16% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.48% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 24.43%
Finland Women
0-1 @ 6.89% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 16.98%