Euro 2022 Header WWW 2

Euro 2022

Spain national football team
Women's European Championship | Group Stage
Jul 8, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadium mk

Spain Women
4 - 1
Finland Women

Paredes (26'), Bonmati (41'), Garcia (75'), Caldentey (90+5' pen.)
Paredes (54')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sallstrom (1')
Alanen (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's European Championship clash between Spain Women and Finland Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain Women

Last Six:
Last Game: England Women 0-1 Spain Women
Wednesday, March 11 at 9.15pm in SheBelieves Cup

Finland Women

Last Six:

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Finland Women had a probability of 16.98%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Finland Women win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.

    Result
    Spain WomenDrawFinland Women
    58.58% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)24.43%16.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
    Both teams to score 42.59% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    42.78% (0.027000000000001 0.03)57.22% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    21.93% (0.021000000000001 0.02)78.07% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
    Spain Women Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    80.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    48.74% (0.007000000000005 0.01)51.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    Finland Women Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    52.85% (0.038999999999994 0.04)47.14% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    17.4% (0.029999999999998 0.03)82.59% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
    Score Analysis
        Spain Women 58.57%
        Finland Women 16.98%
        Draw 24.43%
    Spain WomenDrawFinland Women
    1-0 @ 15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    2-0 @ 12.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
    2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0029999999999983 0)
    3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
    3-1 @ 5.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
    4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    4-1 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    3-2 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
    5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
    Other @ 2.66%
    Total : 58.57%
    		1-1 @ 11.28%
    0-0 @ 9.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
    2-2 @ 3.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
    Other @ 0.52%
    Total : 24.43%
    		0-1 @ 6.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
    1-2 @ 4.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    0-2 @ 2.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    1-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
    Other @ 2.2%
    Total : 16.98%

    How you voted: Spain Women vs Finland

    Spain Women
    80.0%
    Draw
    8.6%
    Finland Women
    11.4%
    35
    Form Guide
    Sorry, no data available for Spain Women
    rhs 2.0


    Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
    Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!