Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Women win with a probability of 52.84%. A win for Spain Women had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Spain Women win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany Women would win this match.