Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Women win with a probability of 49.73%. A win for Denmark Women had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Denmark Women win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany Women would win this match.