Japan national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 26, 2023 at 6am UK
Forsyth Barr Stadium at University Plaza
Costa Rica national football team

Japan Women
2 - 0
Costa Rica Women

Naomoto (25', 25'), Fujino (27', 27')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Chinchilla (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's World Cup clash between Japan Women and Costa Rica Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Zambia Women 0-5 Japan Women
Saturday, July 22 at 8am in Women's World Cup

Costa Rica Women

All competitions
Last Game: Spain Women 3-0 Costa Rica Women
Friday, July 21 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 94.19%. A draw had a probability of 4.5% and a win for Costa Rica Women had a probability of 1.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.32%) and 2-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.15%), while for a Costa Rica Women win it was 0-1 (0.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.

Result
Japan WomenDrawCosta Rica Women
94.19% (0.051000000000002 0.05)4.55% (-0.06 -0.06)1.27% (0.011 0.01)
Both teams to score 30.89% (0.84 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.19% (0.68599999999999 0.69)20.81% (-0.684 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.76% (0.957 0.96)39.25% (-0.955 -0.95)
Japan Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.85% (0.089999999999989 0.09)2.16% (-0.0879 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
89.57% (0.333 0.33)10.43% (-0.331 -0.33)
Costa Rica Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
31.57% (0.83 0.83)68.43% (-0.827 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.61% (0.3099 0.31)94.39% (-0.30699999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Japan Women 94.18%
    Costa Rica Women 1.27%
    Draw 4.55%
Japan WomenDrawCosta Rica Women
3-0 @ 13.89% (-0.28 -0.28)
4-0 @ 13.32% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 10.86% (-0.34 -0.34)
5-0 @ 10.22%
6-0 @ 6.54% (0.069 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.66% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
4-1 @ 5.06% (0.111 0.11)
2-1 @ 4.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.88% (0.123 0.12)
7-0 @ 3.58% (0.074 0.07)
6-1 @ 2.48% (0.104 0.1)
8-0 @ 1.72% (0.053 0.05)
7-1 @ 1.36% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 1% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 94.18%
1-1 @ 2.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 1.48% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 4.55%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 1.27%

How you voted: Japan Women vs Costa Rica Women

Japan Women
90.5%
Draw
0.0%
Costa Rica Women
9.5%
21