Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Zambia Women had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Zambia Women win it was 1-0 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.

Result
Zambia Women	Draw	Japan Women
22.87% ( -0.02)	24.29% ( -0.03)	52.83% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 51.69% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.25% (

0.11)

49.74% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.24% (

0.1)

71.75% (

-0.1)

Zambia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.65% (

0.04)

36.34% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.86% (

0.04)

73.13% (

-0.05)

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.21% (

0.06)

18.78% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.8% (

0.1)

50.19% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Zambia Women 22.87%

Japan Women 52.82%

Draw 24.29%

Zambia Women	Draw	Japan Women
1-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 22.87%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.29%	0-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 52.82%