Women's World Cup
Jul 22, 2023 8.00am
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT FMG Stadium Waikato
  • Catherine Musonda 51' yellowcard
  • Catherine Musonda 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Hinata Miyazawa 43'
  • goal Mina Tanaka 55'
  • goal Hinata Miyazawa 62'
  • goal Jun Endo 71'
  • goal Riko Ueki 90'+11'

Zambia Women vs Japan Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia Women

All competitions

Japan Women

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Zambia Women had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Zambia Women win it was 1-0 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.

Result

Zambia Women 22.87% (-0.03)
Draw 24.29% (-0.04)
Japan Women 52.83% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.69% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.25% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 49.74% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 28.24% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 71.75% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 13.47% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 86.52% (-0.07)

Zambia Women Goals

Over 0.5 63.65% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 36.34% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 26.86% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 73.13% (-0.05)

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5 81.21% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 18.78% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 49.8% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 50.19% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Zambia Women 22.87%
Draw 24.29%
Japan Women 52.82%
Zambia Women
1-0 @ 6.91% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 5.85% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.97% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.89% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 24.29%
Japan Women
0-1 @ 11.41% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.66% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.54% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.39% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.32% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 52.82%