Japan national football team
SheBelieves Cup | Regular Season
Feb 16, 2023 at 9pm UK
 

Japan Women
0 - 1
Brazil Women

FT(HT: 0-0)
Debinha (72')
Coverage of the SheBelieves Cup Regular Season clash between Japan Women and Brazil Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan Women

Last Game: Sweden Women 3-1 Japan Women
Friday, July 30 at 11am in Olympic Games Women's Football

Brazil Women

Last Game: Canada Women 0-0 Brazil Women (4-3 pen.)
Friday, July 30 at 9am in Olympic Games Women's Football

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 67.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Brazil Women had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Brazil Women win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Japan WomenDrawBrazil Women
67.35% (-0.405 -0.41)20.44% (0.004999999999999 0)12.21% (0.398 0.4)
Both teams to score 42.63% (1.123 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (0.861 0.86)50.84% (-0.863 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.27% (0.751 0.75)72.73% (-0.755 -0.75)
Japan Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82% (0.145 0.14)14.18% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.12% (0.289 0.29)41.88% (-0.292 -0.29)
Brazil Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.67% (1.224 1.22)50.33% (-1.227 -1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.11% (0.823 0.82)84.88% (-0.827 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Japan Women 67.34%
    Brazil Women 12.21%
    Draw 20.44%
Japan WomenDrawBrazil Women
1-0 @ 13.93% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-0 @ 13.61% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 8.87% (-0.165 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.104 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.33% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.108 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 67.34%
1-1 @ 9.57% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.21% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 20.44%
0-1 @ 4.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.29% (0.136 0.14)
0-2 @ 1.68% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 12.21%