Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage

Jul 21, 2021 at 11.30am UK

Sapporo Dome

Japan Women
1 - 1
Canada Women

Iwabuchi (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sinclair (6')
Labbe (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between Japan Women and Canada Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Canada Women had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Canada Women win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Japan Women	Draw	Canada Women
52.04%	22.13%	25.83%

Both teams to score 62.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.8%

37.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.59%

59.4%

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.51%

14.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.52%

42.47%

Canada Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.91%

27.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.54%

62.46%

Score Analysis

Japan Women 52.04%

Canada Women 25.83%

Draw 22.13%

Japan Women	Draw	Canada Women
2-1 @ 9.56% 1-0 @ 7.58% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 6.16% 3-0 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 4.02% 4-1 @ 2.98% 4-0 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 4.33% Total : 52.04%	1-1 @ 9.9% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 3.92% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.13%	1-2 @ 6.47% 0-1 @ 5.13% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 1.46% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.83%