Feb 19, 2023 8.30pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Mallory Pugh 45'

USA Women vs Japan Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Women

All competitions

W
L
W
W
D
W

SheBelieves Cup

W

Last game

Feb 17, 2023 12.00am

USA Women 2 - 0 Canada Women

Japan Women

All competitions

L
L
W
L
D
L

SheBelieves Cup

L

Last game

Feb 16, 2023 9.00pm

Japan Women 0 - 1 Brazil Women

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Japan Women had a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Japan Women win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.

Result

USA Women 67.89% ▼ (-0.03)

Draw 18.87% ▲ (+0.03)

Japan Women 13.24% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

50.57% ▼ (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.22% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 2.5 41.78% ▲ (+0.15)

Over 3.5 35.81% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 3.5 64.18% ▲ (+0.15)

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5 88.69% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 0.5 11.31% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 1.5 64.04% ▼ (-0.11)

Under 1.5 35.95% ▲ (+0.11)

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5 57.02% ▼ (-0.11)

Under 0.5 42.98% ▲ (+0.11)

Over 1.5 20.72% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 1.5 79.27% ▲ (+0.09)

Score analysis

USA Women 67.88%

Draw 18.87%

Japan Women 13.24%

USA Women

2-0 @ 11.54% ▲ (+0.03)

1-0 @ 10.59% ▲ (+0.06)

2-1 @ 9.75% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.02)

4-0 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)

4-1 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.02)

3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.02)

5-0 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.01)

5-1 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.02)

4-2 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 3.8%

Total : 67.88%

Draw

1-1 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.02)

0-0 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.04)

2-2 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.95%

Total : 18.87%

Japan Women

0-1 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.02)

1-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 1.4%

Total : 13.24%

Head to Head

Mar 12, 2020 12.00am

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT

Megan Rapinoe 7'
Christen Press 26'
Tobin Heath 50'
Lindsey Horan 83'

Mina Tanaka 5'
Mana Iwabuchi 58'
Riko Ueki 90'

Jul 6, 2015 12.00am

5

2

HT : 4 1

FT BC Place Stadium, Vancouver

Carli Lloyd 3'
Carli Lloyd 5'
Lauren Holiday 14'
Carli Lloyd 16'
Tobin Heath 54'

Yuki Ogimi 27'
Julie Johnston 52' (OG)
Homare Sawa 82'
Mana Iwabuchi 85'

Form Data

USA Women 2 - 0 Canada Women

England Women 2 - 1 USA Women

USA Women 5 - 0 Iceland Women

USA Women 5 - 0 New Zealand W

USA Women 0 - 0 Czech Republic

Australia Women 3 - 4 USA Women

Japan Women 0 - 1 Brazil Women

Sweden Women 3 - 1 Japan Women

Chile Women 0 - 1 Japan Women

Japan Women 0 - 1 GB Women

Japan Women 1 - 1 Canada Women

USA Women 3 - 1 Japan Women