SheBelieves Cup | Regular Season

Feb 19, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

USA Women
1 - 0
Japan Women

Pugh (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the SheBelieves Cup Regular Season clash between USA Women and Japan Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Women

All competitions

SheBelieves Cup

Last Game: USA Women 2-0 Canada Women
Friday, February 17 at 12am in SheBelieves Cup

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden Women	3	7	9
2	USA Women	3	2	4
3	Australia Women	3	-1	4
4	New Zealand Women	3	-8	0

Japan Women

All competitions

Last Game: Japan Women 0-1 Brazil Women
Thursday, February 16 at 9pm in SheBelieves Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Great Britain Women	3	3	7
2	Canada Women	3	1	5
3	Japan Women	3	0	4
4	Chile Women	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Japan Women had a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Japan Women win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.

Result
USA Women	Draw	Japan Women
67.89% ( -0.02)	18.87% ( 0.03)	13.24% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.57% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.22% (

-0.15)

41.78% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.81% (

-0.15)

64.18% (

0.15)

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.69% (

-0.05)

11.31% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.04% (

-0.1)

35.95% (

0.1)

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.02% (

-0.1)

42.98% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.72% (

-0.09)

79.27% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

USA Women 67.88%

Japan Women 13.24%

Draw 18.87%

USA Women	Draw	Japan Women
2-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.8% Total : 67.88%	1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 18.87%	0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 13.24%