Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Bronze Medal match

Aug 5, 2021 at 9am UK

Kashima Soccer Stadium

Australia Women
3 - 4
USA Women

Kerr (17'), Foord (54'), Gielnik (90')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Rapinoe (8', 21'), Lloyd (45+1', 51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between Australia Women and USA Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 52.37%. A win for Australia Women had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Australia Women win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.

Result
Australia Women	Draw	USA Women
25.17%	22.46%	52.37%

Both teams to score 60.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.62%

39.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.28%

61.72%

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26%

28.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.43%

64.58%

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.85%

15.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.27%

43.73%

Score Analysis

Australia Women 25.17%

USA Women 52.37%

Draw 22.45%

Australia Women	Draw	USA Women
2-1 @ 6.39% 1-0 @ 5.43% 2-0 @ 3.38% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.41% Total : 25.17%	1-1 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 4.35% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.45%	1-2 @ 9.67% 0-1 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 7.75% 1-3 @ 6.08% 0-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 3.79% 1-4 @ 2.87% 0-4 @ 2.3% 2-4 @ 1.79% 1-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.94% Total : 52.37%