SheBelieves Cup | Regular Season

Feb 17, 2023 at 12am UK

USA Women
2 - 0
Canada Women

Pugh (7', 34')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the SheBelieves Cup Regular Season clash between USA Women and Canada Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Women

All competitions

Last Game: England Women 2-1 USA Women
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in Women's Football Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden Women	3	7	9
2	USA Women	3	2	4
3	Australia Women	3	-1	4
4	New Zealand Women	3	-8	0

Canada Women

Last Game: Sweden Women 1-1 Canada Women (2-3 pen.)
Friday, August 6 at 1pm in Olympic Games Women's Football

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Great Britain Women	3	3	7
2	Canada Women	3	1	5
3	Japan Women	3	0	4
4	Chile Women	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 66.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Canada Women had a probability of 13.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Canada Women win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.

Result
USA Women	Draw	Canada Women
66.23% ( -0.79)	20.47% ( 0.48)	13.3% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 45.51% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.36% (

-1.34)

48.63% (

1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.25% (

-1.23)

70.75% (

1.23)

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.17% (

-0.65)

13.83% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.82% (

-1.3)

41.18% (

1.3)

Canada Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.81% (

-0.35)

47.18% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.37% (

-0.27)

82.62% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

USA Women 66.21%

Canada Women 13.3%

Draw 20.47%

USA Women	Draw	Canada Women
1-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.48% Total : 66.21%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.47%	0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.1% Total : 13.3%